AS Ariana vs Sporting Ben Arous analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Ariana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
3 - 0
ASA
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ASA
3 - 2
ENS
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
ASA
2 - 2
CRO
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
OUE
2 - 1
ASA
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ESH
0 - 1
ASA
64%
23%
13%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting Ben Arous
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
ESH
21%
27%
52%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 3
GRO
20%
27%
53%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LAN
3 - 0
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CRO
1 - 0
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 3
EMM
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |