AS Ariana vs Sfax Railways analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Ariana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ASA
2 - 1
SNA
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
JEN
2 - 1
ASA
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ASA
4 - 3
CRO
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ASA
2 - 2
SFA
59%
23%
19%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 2
ASA
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sfax Railways
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SFA
2 - 0
JEN
41%
27%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 0
SFA
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SFA
2 - 1
GRO
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ASA
2 - 2
SFA
59%
23%
19%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MED
1 - 0
SFA
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |