AS Ariana vs Sfax Railways analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Ariana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 2
ASA
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 0
ASA
63%
23%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ASA
0 - 0
MED
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
STA
3 - 2
ASA
63%
25%
12%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ASA
2 - 2
STA
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sfax Railways
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MED
1 - 0
SFA
65%
21%
14%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SFA
2 - 1
STA
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
STA
1 - 0
SFA
68%
23%
10%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SFA
1 - 2
SPO
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SFA
2 - 1
SNA
34%
26%
41%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |