AS Ariana vs Sfax Railways analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Ariana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
TAT
1 - 0
ASA
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 0
GAB
20%
27%
54%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ESH
2 - 1
ASA
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ASA
2 - 3
OLY
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
EMM
2 - 2
ASA
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sfax Railways
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SEL
2 - 0
SFA
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SFA
1 - 1
SPO
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
OLY
4 - 0
SFA
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SFA
1 - 2
CRO
39%
27%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GAB
3 - 0
SFA
73%
19%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |