AS Ariana vs EGS Gafsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
52%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Ariana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
ASD
3 - 1
ASA
75%
18%
7%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
ASA
0 - 2
SFA
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ASA
2 - 1
SNA
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
JEN
2 - 1
ASA
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ASA
4 - 3
CRO
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
EGS
2 - 0
OCK
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 1
EGS
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 1
EGS
37%
29%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
EGS
2 - 0
MBO
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 0
EGS
21%
28%
51%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |