AS Ariana vs AS Megrine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1381%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Ariana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2024 |
OUE
2 - 4
ASA
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
ASA
2 - 0
MOK
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
JEN
2 - 1
ASA
54%
26%
21%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ASA
2 - 1
ASD
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 1
ASA
56%
25%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AS Megrine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 2024 |
ASM
1 - 2
SPO
22%
25%
54%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
ASM
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
ASM
1 - 0
CSH
20%
23%
57%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ASM
2 - 0
RAD
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +4 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 2
ASM
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 57 | 36 | 0 |