AS Ariana vs AS Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
46.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Ariana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 1
ASA
56%
25%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ASA
1 - 0
RAD
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CSH
1 - 1
ASA
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ASA
1 - 0
CRO
54%
23%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
KAL
3 - 2
ASA
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 2
ASM
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 21 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MBO
0 - 2
ASD
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ASD
0 - 1
ESH
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MOK
1 - 2
ASD
34%
28%
39%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 1
JEN
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |