AS Ariana vs AS Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
49.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Ariana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
ESH
0 - 1
ASA
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
ASA
0 - 2
TAT
19%
27%
55%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
ASA
4 - 2
OCK
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
LAN
3 - 1
ASA
65%
21%
14%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
ASA
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 1
ASD
24%
29%
47%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
3 - 3
LAN
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
SFA
2 - 1
ASD
22%
29%
50%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
ASD
4 - 1
STI
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
ESH
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |