Apollon Parga vs Tilikratis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
62.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
13º
11º
59
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
71% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
71% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 26 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
93.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Parga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
POF
2 - 1
ASA
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ASA
2 - 0
AEL
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | +4 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 1
ASA
64%
19%
17%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ASA
3 - 1
TRI
19%
22%
60%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AST
1 - 0
ASA
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tilikratis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
TIL
2 - 0
POF
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AEL
2 - 4
TIL
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TIL
5 - 0
NAF
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 1
TIL
24%
26%
51%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AST
1 - 1
TIL
30%
24%
47%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |