Apollon Parga vs Fikis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
13º
11º
43
4º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
71% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
71% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 26 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
93.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Parga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
AEL
3 - 1
ASA
63%
20%
17%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ASA
3 - 0
NAF
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
TRI
4 - 0
ASA
71%
18%
11%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ASA
0 - 0
AST
22%
21%
58%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
ASA
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fikis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
POF
0 - 1
AOI
34%
28%
38%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
POF
3 - 0
AEL
56%
22%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NAF
1 - 0
POF
14%
19%
67%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
POF
2 - 0
TRI
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AST
0 - 2
POF
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |