AS Agareb vs AS Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
72%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Agareb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
ASA
2 - 0
SPO
8%
16%
76%
|
14 | 56 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
0 - 1
ESJ
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
ESH
1 - 1
ASD
25%
30%
45%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
3 - 2
ASR
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MOK
1 - 2
ASD
25%
23%
53%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ASD
0 - 1
USB
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |