Arzew vs MO Constantine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzew
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
ARZ
2 - 0
SKI
45%
26%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
USM
3 - 0
ARZ
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 1
MCS
31%
29%
41%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
0 - 0
ARZ
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ARZ
2 - 2
ESM
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
MO Constantine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
ESM
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SKI
4 - 1
CON
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
CON
5 - 2
BEN
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
USM
1 - 1
CON
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
CON
1 - 1
MCS
30%
29%
42%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |