Arzanese vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BIS
3 - 1
ARZ
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PUT
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAV
2 - 0
ARZ
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ARZ
0 - 0
TAR
15%
22%
64%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SSM
2 - 2
ARZ
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GEL
3 - 2
GAL
15%
22%
63%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
POM
1 - 0
GEL
27%
27%
46%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
GEL
2 - 1
MON
29%
27%
44%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SSS
2 - 0
GEL
25%
27%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 1
BRI
24%
25%
52%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |