Arzachena vs Monterotondo Lupa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
BUD
1 - 2
ARZ
33%
25%
43%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ARZ
2 - 2
STC
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ASM
2 - 1
ARZ
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
ARZ
0 - 1
GAE
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ARZ
2 - 2
FLA
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monterotondo Lupa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
MON
2 - 0
AFC
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FLA
0 - 1
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MON
0 - 0
FBC
82%
13%
5%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
LRO
1 - 1
MON
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
MON
3 - 1
USD
59%
22%
20%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |