Kheybar vs Ario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kheybar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2024 |
EMO
2 - 6
AKF
20%
29%
52%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
SBA
0 - 1
AKF
30%
30%
40%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
AKF
1 - 0
AST
77%
17%
6%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
FAJ
3 - 0
AKF
27%
31%
42%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
AKF
4 - 3
DBF
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
SBA
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
AST
3 - 2
FCA
42%
28%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
DBF
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
KHO
1 - 1
FCA
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
DAM
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |