Arucas vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VSB
1 - 0
ARU
61%
22%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ARU
2 - 0
UPR
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 3
ARU
38%
26%
37%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ARU
1 - 1
LAN
26%
27%
46%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
UDI
0 - 1
ARU
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 1
UDS
21%
22%
57%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
UDS
1 - 2
VSB
36%
23%
41%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
UPR
1 - 1
UDS
30%
23%
46%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
UDS
1 - 0
SPO
68%
19%
14%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LAN
0 - 0
UDS
71%
16%
12%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |