Arucas vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 1
ARU
65%
19%
15%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ARU
0 - 2
VSB
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
UDG
1 - 0
ARU
64%
19%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ARU
2 - 1
UDG
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
UPR
1 - 1
ARU
52%
23%
25%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
LAN
0 - 1
UDS
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
UDL
1 - 2
LAN
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
UNV
1 - 2
LAN
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
LAN
1 - 1
UDG
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
VSB
0 - 1
LAN
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |