Arucas vs UD Balos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
ING
1 - 1
ARU
8%
14%
79%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
ARU
1 - 2
UDS
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
TAM
3 - 2
ARU
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
UNV
5 - 4
ARU
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
ARU
3 - 1
DOR
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Balos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
UDB
0 - 2
UDG
36%
25%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
CDT
2 - 0
UDB
46%
21%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
UDB
2 - 3
TER
26%
22%
52%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
UDG
4 - 2
UDB
69%
17%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2019 |
UDB
2 - 1
UDS
56%
22%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |