Arucas vs UD Cruz Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CSU
1 - 1
ARU
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 0
ARU
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ARU
1 - 2
COT
62%
21%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
ARU
0 - 2
VSB
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 1
ARU
54%
23%
24%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UD Cruz Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CRU
0 - 3
UDS
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
CRU
2 - 0
CDV
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
CRU
42%
23%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CRU
2 - 1
AGU
67%
19%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
RSI
1 - 0
CRU
57%
21%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |