Arucas vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
SGR
1 - 0
ARU
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
ARU
0 - 2
BEC
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ARU
2 - 3
UPR
30%
27%
43%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2017 |
PAN
4 - 3
ARU
61%
20%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ARU
2 - 1
YAI
31%
28%
42%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
UNV
6 - 0
COS
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
COS
1 - 0
UDS
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TEG
5 - 1
COS
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
COS
0 - 1
HCF
20%
20%
60%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 0
COS
50%
22%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |