Arucas B vs Guayarmina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
21.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ARU
5 - 0
PAN
75%
15%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
GOL
2 - 2
ARU
25%
21%
54%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ARU
2 - 2
GAL
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 4
ARU
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ARU
7 - 0
SPA
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Guayarmina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
GYM
5 - 1
GOL
56%
20%
23%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
GAL
1 - 0
GYM
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
GYM
3 - 0
GUI
70%
16%
13%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 5
GYM
30%
22%
49%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
GYM
0 - 0
SAU
58%
20%
22%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |