Aruan Nartkala vs Shahtyor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruan Nartkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2001 |
ANG
1 - 0
ARN
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
ARN
0 - 0
DMA
40%
26%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2001 |
LOK
0 - 5
ARN
13%
22%
66%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
ARN
2 - 0
DIN
42%
27%
31%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
FKM
1 - 1
ARN
37%
27%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Shahtyor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2001 |
SHA
1 - 1
AST
21%
27%
53%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2001 |
KRD
3 - 1
SHA
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2001 |
SHA
0 - 2
ARG
43%
26%
32%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
SHA
0 - 0
ANG
14%
24%
62%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
DMA
1 - 3
SHA
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | +2 |