Aruan Nartkala vs Dynamo Makhachkala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
52.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruan Nartkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2002 |
DIN
2 - 0
ARN
49%
26%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
ARN
0 - 1
KAV
38%
27%
36%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
AST
1 - 0
ARN
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ARN
2 - 1
NCH
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2002 |
ARN
0 - 1
SUA
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Dynamo Makhachkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2002 |
DMK
2 - 0
AVV
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
SLS
1 - 1
DMK
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
DMK
2 - 0
NEK
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ANG
1 - 0
DMK
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2002 |
DMK
1 - 1
DMA
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |