Aruan Nartkala vs Chernomorets D analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruan Nartkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2000 |
VIT
0 - 2
ARN
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2000 |
ARN
1 - 2
ARG
74%
17%
10%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
ROS
4 - 0
ARN
32%
26%
42%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2000 |
ARN
0 - 2
DYS
34%
26%
40%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
SHA
0 - 0
ARN
15%
23%
62%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Chernomorets D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2000 |
CHE
1 - 3
KUB
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2000 |
SKA
3 - 0
CHE
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
CHE
5 - 0
TOT
64%
21%
16%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2000 |
SLS
4 - 3
CHE
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
CHE
2 - 0
KAV
25%
25%
50%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +3 |