Aruan Nartkala vs Angusht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruan Nartkala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2002 |
DMA
1 - 0
ARN
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2002 |
ARN
2 - 1
ARG
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2002 |
ZHE
2 - 0
ARN
42%
26%
32%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2002 |
ZHE
2 - 0
ARN
73%
17%
11%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2002 |
ARN
1 - 0
VIT
51%
24%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Angusht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2002 |
ANG
1 - 0
AVV
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2002 |
SLS
2 - 0
ANG
32%
27%
41%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2002 |
ANG
3 - 0
NEK
70%
19%
11%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2002 |
SUA
1 - 1
ANG
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2002 |
DMA
1 - 2
ANG
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |