Arual Canillejas vs Julian Marias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
14.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arual Canillejas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CDC
4 - 0
ARU
25%
20%
55%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ARU
5 - 1
OLI
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LSA
2 - 3
ARU
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
POL
1 - 3
ARU
39%
21%
41%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ARU
2 - 2
NSD
62%
19%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Julian Marias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CDJ
2 - 6
NSD
58%
19%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
CDJ
5 - 2
CDT
48%
20%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 2
CDJ
58%
19%
24%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CDJ
2 - 4
ESP
19%
19%
62%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FUE
3 - 1
CDJ
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |