Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
STB
0 - 1
ARS
17%
25%
58%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
WHU
0 - 1
ARS
20%
26%
54%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
ARS
2 - 0
NEW
75%
17%
9%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ARS
5 - 0
DER
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
ARS
3 - 0
SEV
56%
24%
20%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
SUN
1 - 2
BBU
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MID
2 - 2
SUN
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
SUN
2 - 1
REA
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
MUD
1 - 0
SUN
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
LUT
3 - 0
SUN
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |