Arsenal vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
10%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
ARS
3 - 0
NEW
67%
19%
14%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
JUV
1 - 0
ARS
49%
24%
28%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
ASV
1 - 2
ARS
27%
27%
46%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2002 |
ARS
0 - 2
DEP
58%
22%
20%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARS
39%
26%
36%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
SUN
1 - 1
SOU
42%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
CHL
4 - 0
SUN
69%
18%
13%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2002 |
SUN
1 - 0
BOL
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
TOT
2 - 1
SUN
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
SUN
0 - 1
NEW
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |