Arsenal vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
ARS
2 - 0
DER
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
COV
1 - 3
ARS
43%
27%
30%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
STR
1 - 0
ARS
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1970 |
ARS
4 - 0
EVE
44%
27%
29%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
NEW
1 - 1
ARS
51%
26%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
STR
4 - 1
SWB
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
STR
1 - 0
ARS
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
WIE
2 - 1
STR
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
STR
2 - 1
WAT
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
STR
3 - 0
ILV
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |