Arsenal vs Real Madrid analysis

Arsenal Real Madrid
94 ELO 93
-1.8% Tilt 11.5%
18º General ELO ranking
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
50.5%
Arsenal
24.6%
Draw
24.9%
Real Madrid

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
Arsenal
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.9%
Win probability
Real Madrid
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal
+2%
-7%
Real Madrid

ELO progression

Arsenal
Real Madrid
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2008
ARS
Arsenal
0 - 1
Juventus
JUV
63%
21%
16%
94 90 4 0
11 May. 2008
SUN
Sunderland
0 - 1
Arsenal
ARS
13%
21%
67%
94 79 15 0
04 May. 2008
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 0
Everton
EVE
68%
20%
12%
94 89 5 0
28 Apr. 2008
DER
Derby County
2 - 6
Arsenal
ARS
11%
21%
68%
94 69 25 0
19 Apr. 2008
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 0
Reading
REA
75%
17%
9%
94 83 11 0

Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Aug. 2008
RMA
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Hamburger SV
HSV
81%
13%
6%
93 86 7 0
18 May. 2008
RMA
Real Madrid
5 - 2
Levante
LEV
84%
12%
5%
93 81 12 0
11 May. 2008
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
2 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
28%
25%
47%
93 87 6 0
07 May. 2008
RMA
Real Madrid
4 - 1
Barcelona
FCB
50%
23%
27%
93 93 0 0
04 May. 2008
OSA
Osasuna
1 - 2
Real Madrid
RMA
24%
26%
50%
93 87 6 0