Arsenal vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
ARS
0 - 1
JUV
63%
21%
16%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
SUN
0 - 1
ARS
13%
21%
67%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
EVE
68%
20%
12%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
DER
2 - 6
ARS
11%
21%
68%
|
94 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ARS
2 - 0
REA
75%
17%
9%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
RMA
2 - 1
HSV
81%
13%
6%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
RMA
5 - 2
LEV
84%
12%
5%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ZAR
2 - 2
RMA
28%
25%
47%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
RMA
4 - 1
FCB
50%
23%
27%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
OSA
1 - 2
RMA
24%
26%
50%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |