Arsenal vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
MUD
2 - 1
ARS
55%
24%
22%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2008 |
LIV
4 - 2
ARS
45%
26%
29%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
57%
24%
19%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
59%
23%
18%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
BOL
2 - 3
ARS
16%
25%
59%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
REA
0 - 2
FUL
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
NEW
3 - 0
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
REA
0 - 0
BBU
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
REA
2 - 1
BIR
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
LIV
2 - 1
REA
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |