Arsenal vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.8%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
3.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
ARS
3 - 0
BBU
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
THU
0 - 1
ARS
17%
24%
59%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
WIG
2 - 3
ARS
12%
22%
66%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
ARS
3 - 1
SUN
83%
12%
5%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
ARS
3 - 0
SPA
81%
13%
6%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
PLY
0 - 2
REA
28%
29%
44%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
IPS
0 - 3
REA
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
REA
3 - 1
HUL
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
QPR
1 - 2
REA
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
REA
2 - 0
SHW
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |