Arsenal vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LEE
0 - 1
ARS
17%
22%
61%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
BOG
0 - 1
ARS
22%
23%
56%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ARS
3 - 2
LIV
23%
22%
55%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
ARS
3 - 0
BOG
68%
18%
14%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ARS
3 - 1
TOT
43%
24%
33%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PSV
6 - 1
UTR
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
PSV
5 - 0
ZUR
74%
16%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 1
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 5
PSV
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BVO
3 - 0
PSV
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |