Champions League Last 16
Global 1-2
Arsenal vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
ARS
2 - 1
REA
75%
16%
9%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
BBU
1 - 0
ARS
25%
27%
49%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
CHL
2 - 1
ARS
55%
22%
23%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
PSV
1 - 0
ARS
29%
27%
44%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ARS
0 - 0
BBU
77%
16%
8%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
PSV
2 - 0
RKC
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 0
PSV
22%
25%
52%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
PSV
1 - 0
GRO
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
PSV
1 - 0
ARS
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
18%
24%
59%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |