Arsenal vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1899 |
BUR
1 - 2
ARS
29%
23%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1899 |
ARS
3 - 0
GLO
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1899 |
ARS
0 - 0
WAL
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1899 |
GLO
2 - 0
ARS
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1899 |
GAI
0 - 1
ARS
26%
23%
51%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1899 |
GRI
3 - 1
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1899 |
POR
2 - 1
LIN
56%
21%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1899 |
NEW
1 - 0
POR
58%
21%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1899 |
POR
1 - 0
MUD
30%
25%
46%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1899 |
BUR
2 - 0
POR
34%
23%
43%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |