Arsenal vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
NTT
1 - 2
ARS
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
ARS
5 - 0
SHW
70%
20%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
ARS
0 - 0
WIM
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1989 |
ARS
2 - 0
COV
66%
22%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
MUD
4 - 1
ARS
40%
28%
32%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
PLY
0 - 0
SHE
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
OPA
0 - 3
PLY
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
OLD
3 - 2
PLY
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
PLY
2 - 1
BAR
43%
27%
29%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1989 |
PLY
0 - 2
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |