Arsenal vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SWA
1 - 2
ARS
18%
22%
61%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
WBA
1 - 1
ARS
16%
20%
64%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ARS
3 - 1
STO
79%
14%
6%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
ARS
21%
23%
56%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SUN
1 - 3
ARS
13%
21%
66%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GEN
0 - 2
NAP
26%
25%
50%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
NAP
1 - 1
SAS
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ACM
1 - 2
NAP
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 1
BVB
24%
23%
54%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NAP
2 - 0
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |