Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
MAC
1 - 0
ARS
22%
27%
52%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
ARS
2 - 1
DZG
74%
17%
9%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ARS
1 - 1
ASV
76%
15%
9%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2006 |
DZG
0 - 3
ARS
29%
27%
44%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2006 |
FCB
2 - 1
ARS
60%
21%
19%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
MID
0 - 4
OPA
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
MID
2 - 1
CHL
23%
27%
51%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
REA
3 - 2
MID
42%
28%
31%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
MID
0 - 4
SEV
33%
25%
43%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
FUL
1 - 0
MID
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |