Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2006 |
WIG
1 - 0
ARS
17%
26%
58%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
ARS
2 - 1
CAR
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2006 |
ARS
0 - 0
MUD
50%
24%
26%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
ASV
0 - 0
ARS
16%
24%
60%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2005 |
ARS
4 - 0
OPA
80%
14%
6%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
NUN
1 - 1
MID
16%
26%
58%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
NEW
2 - 2
MID
53%
26%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
MID
0 - 0
MAC
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
MID
0 - 2
BBU
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
MID
0 - 1
BBU
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |