Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
EVE
1 - 4
ARS
14%
22%
65%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
51%
22%
27%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEI
82%
13%
6%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
FUL
0 - 1
ARS
15%
23%
62%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2004 |
OPA
1 - 1
ARS
14%
21%
65%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
MID
2 - 2
NEW
33%
27%
40%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
OPA
5 - 1
MID
44%
27%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
MID
2 - 1
MAC
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 0
MID
49%
27%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
MID
1 - 2
ASV
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |