Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
TOT
1 - 1
ARS
28%
26%
47%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2002 |
ARS
0 - 0
VCF
59%
23%
19%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
MUD
2 - 0
ARS
50%
24%
26%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
ARS
3 - 1
ASV
79%
14%
7%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
ROM
1 - 3
ARS
42%
26%
32%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
MID
1 - 1
CHL
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
MID
2 - 2
WHU
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
WBA
1 - 0
MID
34%
28%
39%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
MID
3 - 1
MAC
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
CHL
1 - 0
MID
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |