Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.2%
12.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1935 |
HUR
0 - 0
ARS
43%
23%
34%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1935 |
ARS
4 - 0
WOL
76%
14%
11%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1935 |
EVE
0 - 2
ARS
51%
21%
29%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1935 |
ARS
1 - 1
DER
73%
15%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1935 |
BRE
2 - 1
ARS
34%
23%
43%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1935 |
MID
2 - 0
MAC
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1935 |
SUN
2 - 1
MID
71%
15%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1935 |
MID
6 - 1
BBU
54%
20%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1935 |
CHL
2 - 1
MID
55%
20%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1935 |
MID
2 - 2
LIV
53%
21%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |