Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.9%
10.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1935 |
WOL
1 - 1
ARS
48%
21%
32%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1935 |
ARS
2 - 2
CHL
79%
13%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1935 |
ASV
1 - 3
ARS
51%
20%
29%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1935 |
ARS
1 - 1
GRI
78%
13%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1935 |
EVE
0 - 2
ARS
52%
21%
27%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1935 |
EVE
1 - 1
MID
70%
15%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1935 |
MID
2 - 1
HUR
48%
21%
31%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1935 |
WOL
5 - 3
MID
66%
16%
17%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1935 |
MID
3 - 1
TOT
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1935 |
PNE
2 - 0
MID
43%
22%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |