Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
12%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1933 |
EVE
3 - 1
ARS
54%
21%
25%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1933 |
TOT
1 - 1
ARS
41%
23%
36%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1933 |
WBA
1 - 0
ARS
42%
23%
35%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1933 |
ARS
1 - 1
MAC
75%
15%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1933 |
ARS
3 - 1
WBA
72%
16%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1933 |
MID
2 - 1
MAC
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1933 |
SHW
3 - 0
MID
67%
18%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1933 |
MID
0 - 3
BIR
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1933 |
WBA
3 - 0
MID
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1933 |
LEE
5 - 2
MID
48%
23%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |