Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
12.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1932 |
ASV
5 - 3
ARS
61%
19%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1932 |
ARS
1 - 0
NEW
73%
15%
12%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1932 |
WOL
1 - 7
ARS
40%
23%
37%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1932 |
ARS
8 - 2
LEI
73%
15%
12%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1932 |
LIV
2 - 3
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1932 |
MID
0 - 2
EVE
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1932 |
BPO
3 - 1
MID
45%
20%
35%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1932 |
MID
0 - 3
DER
47%
22%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1932 |
BIR
1 - 4
MID
51%
22%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1932 |
MID
1 - 2
SUN
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |