Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1923 |
ARS
0 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1923 |
BOL
1 - 2
ARS
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1923 |
ARS
1 - 2
MAC
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1923 |
MAC
1 - 0
ARS
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1923 |
ARS
0 - 0
BIR
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1923 |
NEW
3 - 2
MID
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1923 |
MID
1 - 0
NEW
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1923 |
NTT
3 - 1
MID
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1923 |
MID
5 - 2
NTT
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1923 |
NOT
1 - 0
MID
34%
25%
42%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |