Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
MAC
3 - 1
ARS
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
ARS
2 - 1
MAC
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 1
ARS
55%
24%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
ARS
0 - 1
ASV
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1920 |
ARS
2 - 0
MUD
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
MID
0 - 0
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
BUR
2 - 1
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1920 |
PNE
2 - 0
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
OLD
3 - 3
MID
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1920 |
MID
0 - 0
PNE
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |