Arsenal vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1899 |
WAL
2 - 0
ARS
43%
23%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1899 |
ARS
1 - 0
POR
64%
20%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1899 |
LUT
1 - 2
ARS
31%
24%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1899 |
ARS
0 - 2
LEI
41%
23%
37%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1899 |
BOL
1 - 0
ARS
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1899 |
MID
1 - 0
GRI
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1899 |
NEW
1 - 1
MID
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1899 |
MID
1 - 3
BIR
33%
24%
43%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1899 |
POR
3 - 1
MID
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1899 |
LIN
3 - 0
MID
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |