Arsenal vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
BRI
1 - 3
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
ARS
1 - 0
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
HKS
2 - 1
ARS
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1978 |
WOL
1 - 0
ARS
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
ARS
1 - 1
ASV
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
HKS
2 - 1
ARS
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
RAP
2 - 1
HKS
49%
23%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
HKS
2 - 0
RAP
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1978 |
HKS
1 - 1
AUS
58%
21%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1978 |
AUS
1 - 1
HKS
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |