Arsenal vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2003 |
INT
1 - 5
ARS
36%
26%
38%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
BIR
0 - 3
ARS
14%
22%
64%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ARS
2 - 1
TOT
78%
14%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 0
DYN
74%
16%
10%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
LEE
1 - 4
ARS
21%
25%
54%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2003 |
FUL
2 - 0
OPA
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
CHA
3 - 1
FUL
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
FUL
1 - 2
LIV
44%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
MUD
1 - 3
FUL
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2003 |
FUL
2 - 3
NEW
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |